Multivariate prediction on wake-affected wind turbines using graph neural networks

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Abstract Summary
Modern wind turbines are large and slender dynamical structures with a fatigue loading profile of complex nature. The guarantee of their structural integrity is paramount for materializing cost efficient and more reliable wind energy. The measurement of the global dynamic response and loads of wind turbines is fundamental to achieving this goal. However, an industry-wide, cost-effective direct sensing framework is yet to arise. Moreover, deploying physical sensors and measurement systems on every structural component of interest of a wind turbine induces prohibitive costs in deployment, maintenance and data management. Considering that direct fluid-structure interaction simulations on a farm level are not computationally feasible, the preferred path for structural response estimation on wind farms has been surrogate modelling. Within this landscape, new model architectures have risen in recent years which are able to take into account graph structured data (i.e. non-euclidean data). Wind turbines positioned in a farm, where there is a layout- and topology-dependant interplay of aerodynamic wake affecting the loading profile and power production, lend themselves perfectly to this paradigm. Thus, in this contribution, we introduce the use of graph neural networks (GNN) for layout-agnostic saptio-temporal joint modelling of fatigue loads effects, rotor-averaged wind speed and power production on individual turbines of wind farms. To this end, we generate random samples of inflow conditions from a Weibull distribution for wind speed, uniform wind direction and conditional normal distributions of wind shear and nacelle yaw angles. Additionally, 200 wind farm layouts are randomly generated based on different geometric shapes (rectangle, triangle, ellipse and sparse circles) with random parametrization (varying orientations, length/width ratio) for different numbers of turbines and minimal distance (based on the rotor diameter). Both the arbitrary layouts and the random inflow conditions are used as inputs for PyWake, a wind farm simulation tool capable of calculating wind farm flow fields, power and fatigue loads. In our analysis, we develop and compare the performance of Graph Isomorphism Networks (GIN), Graph Convolution Networks (GCN) and Graph Attention Networks (GAT) in their accuracy and ability to generalize their joint predictions for unseen layouts, uncertain inflow conditions and fatigue load estimation on the blade root, tower top and tower base of any wind turbine in the farm.
Abstract ID :
272
Abstract Mini Symposia Topic:
PhD Student
,
OWI-Lab, Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Institute of Structural Engineering, ETH Zurich
Institute of Structural Engineering, ETH Zurich
echnical University of Denmark - DTU
Prof
,
Vrije Universiteit Brussel
OWI-Lab, Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Chair of Structural Mechanics & Monitoring
,
ETH Zurich
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